Is the Threat of Global Warming Scientifically Valid?

On Jan. 16, 2014, NASA and NOAA declared that 2014 is the Warmest Year on Record and proceed to blame CO2 emissions as the source of global warming. Global warming is a hot topic among secular society and it drives many government and private programs. But was 2014 really the warmest? Is CO2 really to blame? Does a creationist perspective change our view on what is happening?

At face value, the temperature charts provided do show that since the year 1880 there has been a rise in global temperature of about .8oC. That measurement is not in question. However, there are quite a few factors to take into consideration when considering the long-term weather models of the Earth, the possible causes of any changes, and how much of it has truly been caused by man-made activity.

One of the strongest factors in heating the Earth is the Sun. That should be no surprise, but the fact that the sun does not give a constant output of energy does surprise people. Sunspot and faculae activity decrease and increase the amount of energy the Earth receives. The 1800’s had the end of a solar period where the sun was cooler. So the Earth is now experiencing a warmer period. This is normal and not a man-made effect. Statistically, global warming is connected much more strongly with solar activity than with CO2 emissions.

Volcanic activity was also greater during the 1800’s. Volcanic eruptions spread sulfur aerosols into the atmosphere which cool the surface of the earth by reflecting more sunlight back into space. With a decrease in volcanic activity, again, the temperature of the Earth would be expected to rise and would not be a man-made effect.

Much of the debate about greenhouse gases and the global warming trend focus on carbon dioxide (CO2), a substance that is produced in mankind’s industrial processes. Is this really a problem? Carbon dioxide is not really a strong greenhouse gas and its level of emissions in the last century do not correlate with a rise in temperature well. In fact, water vapor is the big player and may account for 95% of greenhouse warming. Also, carbon dioxide may actually benefit the planet. One study shows that plants are growing faster and using water more efficiently because of the increase in available CO2.

Finally, let us notice an interesting statistic. The study says that 2014 was .02oC warmer than the previous record year – with a margin of uncertainty of .10oC. Ummm … that means the margin of uncertainty is 5 times greater than the amount of temperature increase reported. Therefore 2014, may not be the warmest year simply by measuring and sampling error.

From an evolutionary perspective, the Anthropocene Age (the age of man’s influence on the world) is a major cause of concern and secular society must worry about what humans are doing to the planet. It is a human centered view which assumes mankind is a problem and the cause of global warming. From a creationist perspective, the Earth is still balancing things out after a global flood and massive destruction only 4,500 years ago and, if anything by man is contributing to the destruction of the earth, it is primarily from the effects of sin existing in the world. Scientifically, we are witnessing the normal cycles involving the sun, volcanoes, evaporation of water, and many other factors not mentioned in this article.

XXVIA. Last Updated: 02/01/2016
Todd Elder

Todd Elder

Todd Elder has a deep desire to understand and experience Creation. As a Baraminologist, his current research includes developing the Katagenos Species Concept, the Natanzera Classification System, and the Floral Formula Method of determining Plant Kinds. As an author and speaker, his books and seminar materials are designed to encourage a growing relationship with the Creator.
Todd Elder

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